High Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud has polled at its lowest since June 2025, attaining simply 20 seats, in step with a Maariv ballot printed Friday.
Against this, Yashar, led via former IDF leader of team of workers Gadi Eisenkot, won one seat, attaining a report prime of 23, opening a three-seat lead over Likud.
The ballot additionally discovered that former high minister Naftali Bennett’s In combination won one seat to achieve 17, whilst Yisrael Beytenu additionally rose via one seat to ten.
Yair Golan’s Democrats remained unchanged at 11 seats following the celebration’s primaries.
Throughout the coalition, Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit won one seat, attaining 8, matching haredi events, Shas and United Torah Judaism, either one of which remained unchanged. Bezalel Smotrich’s Spiritual Zionist Birthday party additionally won one seat, emerging to 5.
(From L-R) Deputy High Minister and Justice Minister Yariv Levin, High Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Nationwide Safety Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir within the Knesset, July 16, 2026. (credit score: MARC ISRAEL SELLEM/THE JERUSALEM POST)
On account of the shifts, the opposition bloc misplaced one seat however retained a majority of 61 seats. General, Netanyahu’s coalition bolstered to 49 seats, whilst the Arab events remained solid with 10 seats.
Yesodot Israel, the celebration led via Chili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel, did not move the electoral threshold this week, receiving simplest 2.9% of the vote. Balad additionally remained underneath the brink with 1.7%, as did Benny Gantz’s Blue and White with 1.6%.
Did Bennett, Lapid’s determination to merge regulate vote casting intentions?
The ballot additionally tested how present In combination citizens supposed to vote ahead of the Bennett-Yair Lapid alliance used to be shaped. Of the celebration’s projected 17 seats, 10 come from individuals who already supposed to vote for Naftali Bennett within the 2026 election, 5 from Yesh Atid citizens, and two from citizens who had deliberate to strengthen different events ahead of the alliance used to be established.
The survey additional discovered that almost part of citizens from the Zionist opposition events, 46%, imagine Bennett and Lapid will have to proceed working in combination in spite of the alliance’s status within the polls. Thirty-one % mentioned they will have to section tactics, whilst 23% mentioned they didn’t know.
A majority of Zionist opposition citizens, 57%, additionally imagine Tropper and Hendel will have to sign up for some of the present events. Nineteen % mentioned they will have to proceed working independently, whilst 24% have been unsure.
In keeping with the ballot, if Tropper and Hendel have been to enroll in Yashar, the celebration would upward thrust to 27 seats, similar to the blended power of the events working one at a time, additional widening its lead over Likud.
This sort of transfer would come on the expense of In combination, which might fall to fourteen seats, however it will no longer regulate the steadiness between the blocs: the Zionist opposition would retain 61 seats, Netanyahu’s coalition would cling 49, and the Arab events would stay at 10.
Bennett leads Netanyahu as best suited high minister candidate, ballot reveals
The Maariv ballot additionally discovered that Bennett leads Netanyahu in suitability for top minister, with 45% strengthen when put next with Netanyahu’s 42%.
The distance is just about unchanged from the former ballot performed firstly of July. Eisenkot leads Netanyahu via six proportion issues, 46% to 40%, a two-point narrowing from the former survey. In a head-to-head comparability between Eisenkot and Bennett, the space additionally remained in large part unchanged, with Eisenkot receiving 38% strengthen and Bennett 23%.
The ballot via Lazar Analysis, headed via Dr. Menachem Lazar, in cooperation with the Panele4ALL on-line panel. The ballot used to be performed on July 22-23 amongst 500 respondents representing a consultant pattern of Israel’s grownup inhabitants elderly 18 and over, together with each Jewish and Arab respondents. The utmost margin of sampling error used to be 4.4%.
